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Hot Commodities: How Anyone Can Invest Profitably in the World's Best Market
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The next bull market is here. It's not in stocks. It's not in bonds. It's in commodities - and some smart investors will be riding that bull to record returns in the next decade.
In Hot Commodities, Rogers offers the lowdown on the most lucrative markets for today and tomorrow. In 1998, gliding under the radar, a bull market in commodities began. Rogers thinks it's going to continue for at least fifteen years - and he's put his money where his mouth is: In 1998, he started his own commodities index fund. It's up 165% since then, with more than $200 million invested, and it's the single-best performing index fund in the world in any asset class. Less risky than stocks and less sluggish than bonds, commodities are where the money is - and will be in the years ahead. Rogers's strategies are simple and straightforward. You can start small - a few thousand dollars will suffice. It's all about putting your money into stuff you understand, the basic materials of everyday life, like coal, sugar, cotton, corn, or crude oil. Once you recognize the cyclical and historical trading patterns outlined here, you'll be on your way.
In language that is both colorful and accessible, Rogers explains why the world of commodity investing can be one of the simplest of all - and how commodities are the bases by which investors can value companies, markets, and whole economies. To be a truly great investor is to know something about commodities.
For small investors and high rollers alike, Hot Commodities is as good as gold . . . or lead, or aluminum, which are some of the commodities Rogers says could be as rewarding for investors.
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Audible Audiobook
Listening Length: 7 hours and 25 minutes
Program Type: Audiobook
Version: Unabridged
Publisher: Audible Studios
Audible.com Release Date: October 21, 2013
Whispersync for Voice: Ready
Language: English, English
ASIN: B00FG57PXE
Amazon Best Sellers Rank:
I bought this book in 2006 but I felt I owed it a review since it got me started on a lucrative career in trading commodities and since I totally panned Rogers later book “A Bull in China.†In Hot commodities Rogers gives a general overview of why we were in a commodities bull market (in 2004). Roger’s theory is more qualitative than quantitative but it is logical, well presented, and understandable. Rogers discusses commodities market cycles and the underlying causes for these cycles. While the longer term commodities bull market is now in question the book is still useful to help make judgments today on underlying fundamentals. Commodities are not a popular asset class compared to stocks and bonds yet easier to understand. To me that makes commodities investing far more interesting. Better to trade where is there is less competition. I am amazed that Rogers can produce two opposed books like “Hot Commodities†and “A Bull in China.†Hot Commodities challenges the conventional wisdom on investing while a “Bull in Chinaâ€, quite the opposite, goes right along with the conventional wisdom.
"In commodities trading knowledge is the gateway to making money" says Jim Rogers. "My goal is to show you how to think about commodities before you put any money on the table." This book is full of basic information on the world of "things" as Roger's refers to commodities, plus numerous examples, verifiable facts and entertaining anecdotes.It is not, however, a complete guide to commodity speculation. There are already a number of good books on that subject (see Jack Schwager's books among others). Hot Commodities is an introduction to the world of commodity speculation from the viewpoint of one who has made a fortune in it over the past four decades.Very few investors pay attention to the commodities world. Rogers claims that any of us, whether or not we take a position in a commodity, can improve our edge as an investor by learning more about how commodities are affected by supply and demand and how they in turn affect company profits, national economies and consumer behavior.The first four chapters of Hot Commodities introduce the reader to commodities as an asset class distinct from stocks, bonds and real estate. Rogers covers the typical objections to commodity investing put forth by stock brokers and financial advisors, describes the history and operation of commodity futures markets and describes alternative means to enter the market through futures, options, ETFs and equities.Chapter 5 looks at China and explains how it will drive the commodities boom for decades. His assessment also addresses the downside risks to Chinese capitalism and warns about the severe pullbacks (50%+) common in major bull markets and how to handle them (use low or no leverage; buy dips) so you can stick with the long-term trend. He concludes that China will overcome its challenges and wise investors would do well to get aboard.The last five chapters examine five markets: oil, gold, lead, sugar and coffee. Each exemplifies how a master investor researches, analyzes and evaluates a particular commodity in order to gain deep understanding of market fundamentals. A concluding chapter sums it all up.What I value most is insight into the mind of Jim Rogers the investor which he so generously shares with us readers. Rarely do those of us outside Wall Street get the opportunity to view the thought process and work product of a true market wizard. Whether or not you plan to or already do invest in commodities, and whether or not you agree with Rogers' opinions, it is difficult to argue with his mastery of commodity investing.I rate the book three stars. Why only three? It is not essential reading for a trader (-1) and significant portions of the content (but not the core value) are now out of date (-1). I first read it in June 2005 and just re-read it to see how his predictions fared. In a word: astounding! I suspect that you will feel the same way if you choose to read the book.
I would have easily given this phenomenal book a perfect 5/5 rating, except for one critique. Jim rogers does an outstanding job giving a opinion in a good read and does make alot of sense. I myself invest in commodities and stocks. And because this book was written 6 years ago it still has useful advice for a macro scale of investing. Now for the down side, the author disregards the fact that oil and commodities rose because of inflation, not just supply shortages. Supply and demand does infact dictate prices, but he talks so much of the 1970s without mentioning that America and many other countries went off the gold standard in August of 1971. The prices of everything due to the money printing in the 70's and free floating exchange rates contributed to a large part of the spike in commodities, which it should. It would have been easier for him to dedicate a short chapter to include that important reason for massive price spikes. Otherwise, enjoy.
Jim Rogers is a smart guy and a good writer, but this book is outdated. Commodities are very tricky, very difficult to play unless you have an open mind and get the right information, which, surprisingly enough, is very hard to obtain. Not a total waste of your time, however. There are "cycles" in commodities. However I suspect that both because of monetary policy and weather changes they are more difficult to predict than in the past.
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